Canadian housing markets buck recession
and trend upwards, says RE/MAX
Mississauga, ON (Sept. 24, 2009) -- With the worst of the recession over, residential real estate
markets in major Canadian centres are poised for growth in the final quarter of 2009, according
to a report released today by RE/MAX.
The RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report found the bounce back that began in early Spring has
made this recession one of the shortest on record for real estate. Low interest rates, pent-up
demand, and improved affordability levels have all played a role in the recovery now wellunderway.
Percentage increases in sales from January to August 2009 were led by Vancouver,
(up a substantial 14 per cent to 23,158), Victoria (up 7.4 per cent to 5,266), Edmonton (up 6.2
per cent to 13,691), Regina (up five per cent to 2,597), Ottawa (up 2.4 per cent to 10,830) and
Toronto (up 1.8 per cent to 58,421). Housing values are already ahead of record-breaking 2008
levels in seven of the 11 markets surveyed, including Newfoundland-Labrador (18.1 per cent
year to $203,584), Regina (6.4 per cent to $244,088), Halifax-Dartmouth (3.5 per cent to
$239,633), Winnipeg (3.5 per cent to $207,006), Ottawa (3.3 per cent to $301,684), and Toronto
(up 0.3 per cent to $385,978). Nationally, average price hovers at $312,585, up 0.5 per cent
over one year ago.
"Markets are heating up across the country," says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President,
RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. "Purchasers are clearly taking advantage of affordable prices
and rock bottom interest rates. Those who missed the boat in years past have found that sitting
on the sidelines can be a costly move. Prices are on the upswing and inventory levels are
tightening, so the push toward homeownership is expected to continue throughout the Fall and
possibly into early 2010."
The recovery of Canada's resale housing markets speaks to the tremendous value Canadians
place on the importance of owning a home. The number of Canadians overall who own a home
has increased since 1981 from 62.1 per cent to 68.4 per cent, with some markets posting even
higher homeownership rates -- Calgary (74.1), St. John's (71.5), Regina (70.1), and Edmonton
(69.2). Significant gains have also been made over the same period in markets such as Ottawa --
where homeownership levels rose from 51.4 per cent to 66.7 per cent -- and Toronto, where
levels rose fro m 57.3 to 67.6 per cent.
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RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report...2
"The strength of the residential housing sector cross-country has taken many economists and
housing analysts by surprise once again," says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President,
RE/MAX of Western Canada. "In terms of its impact on the resale market, by historical
standards, this recession was one of the mildest. The resilience of bricks and mortar has been
demonstrated time and again. While there may still be some challenges down the road, the
worst is definitely behind us in the housing industry."
Over the past thirty years, the Canadian residential real estate market has experienced three
major downturns - 1981, 1989, and 2008. While there have also been regional fluctuations
throughout the years, return on investment over this period has been substantial, with
Vancouver, Victoria, Toronto, Regina and Ottawa leading the country in terms of price
appreciation.
The overall stability of real estate as an investment has also played a role. Markets like Halifax-
Dartmouth, Regina, Ottawa, Winnipeg and London have provided steady returns (especially in
recent years), with minimal fluctuation.
Public sentiment can best be illustrated by a recent Angus Reid Omnibus Survey* that asked the
question "In which do you feel more comfortable investing your money? The stock market or
real estate." Out of 1,000 respondents from coast-to-coast, 77 per cent chose real estate. The
results of the RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report are clearly representative of this national
dynamic at work.
RE/MAX is Canada's leading real estate organization with over 17,000 sales associates situated
throughout its more than 677 independently-owned and operated offices across the country.
The RE/MAX franchise network, now in its 36th year, is a global real estate system operating in
more than 70 countries. Over 6,700 independently-owned offices engage nearly 100,000
member sales associates who lead the industry in professional designations, experience and
production while providing real estate services in residential, commercial, referral, and asset
management. For more information, visit: www.remax.ca.
* The Angus Reid Omnibus Survey was conducted on September 15, 2009 and yields a margin of
error of +3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
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For more information:
Christine Martysiewicz Eva Blay/Charlene McAdam
RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada Point Blank Communications
905.542.2400 416.781.3911
Homeownership Rates
Canada and Major Centres
1981 2006
Canada 62.1 68.4
Metropolitan Areas*
St. John's 69.5 71.5
Halifax 55.6 64.0
Ottawa 51.4 66.7
Toronto 57.3 67.6
London 58.0 65.9
Winnipeg 59.1 67.2
Regina 65.4 70.1
Calgary 58.4 74.1
Edmonton 57.9 69.2
Vancouver 58.5 65.1
Victoria 59.8 64.7
Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (May 2008)
*Homeownership rates based on 1986 boundaries for the Census
Metropolitan Area (CMA)
Top Performing Markets by Price Appreciation
1980 YTD 2009 % Increase
Market Avg. $ Avg. $ 1980 - 2009
Greater Vancouver $100,065 $574,061 473.7%
Victoria $85,066 $466,611 448.5%
Greater Toronto $75,694 $385,978 409.9%
Regina $48,628 $244,088 402.0%
Ottawa $63,177 $301,684 377.5%
Halifax-Dartmouth $53,161 $239,633 350.8%
Winnipeg $50,491 $207,006 310.0%
Calgary $93,977 $380,489 304.9%
London - St. Thomas $55,210 $213,683 287.0%
Newfoundland & Labrador $52,768 $203,584 285.8%
Edmonton $84,623 $319,939 278.1%
Canada $67,024 $312,585 366.4%
Source: Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), RE/MAX